FAQ

What is guessperts.com?

It is OUR record of the picks hosts make on sports shows and podcasts, and how those picks actually turned out. Each pick links back to the exact moment in the original video or episode, so you can go watch or listen to the host actually make the call.

How do you decide if a pick “hit”?

It depends on the type of pick. A spread pick (like “Oregon -24.5”) wins if that team’s final margin beats the number, loses if it doesn’t, and pushes if it lands exactly on the number. A total (like “Over 47.5”) compares the combined final score to the number. A team total does the same thing but only against that one team’s own score, not the combined score. A moneyline pick just asks whether the picked team won the game outright — the price attached to it doesn’t matter for grading, only who won.

We only track full-game picks. First-half and quarter-specific picks are left out, since we don’t have a reliable source for halftime or quarter scores yet.

We don’t grade a parlay as a single bet. When a parlay includes legs we can grade on their own, we track each leg as an individual pick (see Are the picks on this site accurate?).

What does a “record” (like 5-11-0) actually mean?

Three numbers, in order: wins, losses, pushes. A show’s overall record is every graded pick across every host on that show; a host’s record is every graded pick they’ve made across every show they appear on. Ungraded picks (see above) aren’t counted in either direction — they’re simply left out, not treated as a loss.

One exception: if a host makes the exact same pick more than once, it only counts once in a record. See the next question.

What if a host makes the same pick on more than one show?

Plenty of hosts appear on more than one show, and they often give the same pick on each. We treat that as two mentions but one pick — it’s one opinion, said twice.

• Pick lists show every appearance. The pick shows up on each show and episode where it was made, so you can go watch or listen to each one. On host, game, and team pages, the later appearances are marked Repeat pick.
• Records count the pick once. A host’s record, a team’s “When Backed” / “When Against” record, a game’s record, and the stats on the Heartbreakers page all count a repeated pick one time. Otherwise, saying the same thing on two podcasts would count as twice the evidence, and one host could look like a “crowd” all by themselves.
• Each show keeps its own picks. A show’s record includes every pick made on that show, even if the host also made it somewhere else. That means a host’s records on each of their shows can add up to more than their overall record — the difference is the repeats.

“The same pick” means the same host, the same game, the same type of line, the same line, and the same side (or the same over/under). If the line changed between shows — say, Oregon -3.5 on one show and Oregon -4 on another — those are two different picks, because they can grade differently. On the Heartbreakers page, that host still only counts as one person backing Oregon.

What is the Guessperts Rank?

It’s how we rank hosts against each other, marked on the site with our G logo: the G Rating is the number, and the G Rank is where that puts a host in the order.

Ranking hosts by plain win percentage doesn’t work well. A host who’s 8-2 has an 80% win rate, and one who’s 58-42 has 58% — but ten picks is a tiny sample. Anyone can go 8-2 over a lucky stretch. Going 58-42 over a hundred picks says a lot more.

The more picks a host makes the closer their rating gets to their actual win rate. That works in both directions: a strong record gets more convincing with more picks, and so does a weak one. There’s no bonus for simply making a lot of picks — volume only matters because it makes a record more believable. A host sitting right at .500 rates 50% whether they’re 5-5 or 50-50.

A few more rules:

• Only wins and losses count. Pushes still show in a host’s record, but they don’t move the rating. Ungraded picks don’t count at all.
• Every pick counts the same. A “lock” isn’t worth more than any other pick.
• Repeat picks count once. See the question above.
• Ties share a rank, shown like T-6. We don’t break ties — the same rating means the same evidence.
• Hosts whose picks are all still undecided are listed as unranked, rather than ranked on imaginary picks alone. Hosts who haven’t made a pick yet aren’t listed at all. Hosts with fewer than 5 decided picks are ranked but marked Small sample, because their rating is still mostly the starting assumption.
• Where you look changes the rank. Overall rankings count every show. A host’s rank on a network or a single show only counts the picks made there, so the same host can be #1 overall and #3 on one particular show. Each ranking says which one it is.
• Network rankings include anyone who picked on that network’s shows, whichever network they usually appear on. A guest spot on another network’s show puts that host in that network’s ranking too, based only on the picks they made there.

The overall and network rankings are on the Hosts page; each show’s ranking is on its show page.

Like everything on the site, rankings only include games that are already over.

How do streaks work?

A streak counts episodes, not individual picks. Each episode is judged on its own record: more wins than losses makes it a winning episode, more losses than wins a losing one. Counting back from the most recent episode, a streak is how many winning (or losing) episodes came in a row.

• An even episode (like 4-4) ends a streak. So does an episode that went the other way.
• Pushes don’t count either way, just like everywhere else on the site.
• An episode only counts once all of its games are over. Otherwise a streak would change as that weekend’s results came in.
• Hosts get a separate streak for each show they’re on. Shows covering the same weekend overlap, so there’s no fair way to put them in one order. Each show’s streak uses that host’s record on that show’s episodes, which is the record shown next to their name on each episode page.
• Show streaks use each episode’s full record, the “Episode Record” at the top of every episode page.
• Network streaks run across every episode of every show on the network, by air date. When two shows air on the same day, that day only extends the streak if both episodes went the same way.

Every streak lists the episodes it’s made of, so you can click through and check each one.

What do “When Backed” and “When Against” mean on a team page?

This is worth being precise about, because it’s easy to read too much into it. “When Backed” is the record of every spread or moneyline pick that took that team’s side of a game. “When Against” is every one of those picks that took the other team instead, in a game this team played.

What this deliberately does not claim is “who was predicted to win the game.” A pick like “Boise State +24.5” doesn’t mean the host thought Boise State would win — it just means they thought the game would stay closer than 24.5 points. Only a strict favorite (a negative spread) or a moneyline pick actually implies an outright winner. Since spread and moneyline picks get grouped together here, “backed” really means “which side did the picks favor,” not “who did people think would win.” We think that’s still an interesting number — just not the same question.

Team totals and game totals aren’t included in this particular stat at all, since they don’t back a side of the game in the first place.

Why don’t you show a show’s picks until the games are over?

This is deliberate, and it’s the core idea behind the whole site. Two reasons:

First, we don’t want to be useful for betting on a game that hasn’t happened yet. A pick that’s already graded is history — it can’t be used to place a bet on an outcome that’s already decided. A pick sitting there ungraded, before the game, absolutely could be. So it stays hidden until the game is decided, full stop.

Second, and honestly the bigger reason: the whole point of this site is to give you a reason to go back and rewatch or relisten to a show once you already know how the game turned out. Hearing a host argue passionately for a pick that turned out to be completely wrong (or nail one nobody else saw coming) is a genuinely different experience once the outcome isn’t in question anymore. That’s the dynamic we’re going for - a companion for revisiting the show, not a tool for following it live.

Why did you build this?

Same answer as above, really. Not to help anyone gamble, and not to give anyone something to follow along with in real time. The rankings here only ever look backward, at games that are already decided. The point is to make it more fun to go back and watch a show again once the results are in, and see how smart or how far off the hosts actually sounded.

Are the picks on this site accurate?

We try to make them accurate, but Guessperts is an entertainment site, not an official record. A statement can be misunderstood, attributed to the wrong person, matched to the wrong game, changed later, or simply missed. We also don’t support every kind of pick a host might make. So a host’s record here means their record based solely on the picks we’ve collected and graded — not their complete or official record anywhere else.

We also have made the decision to process picks differently for our particular purpose. For example, if we have clear picks in a parlay bet (that is, where multiple picks are usually combined into one), we extract those to track them individually. This could either help the host in our G Rank (three winning legs are one win as a parlay, but three wins here), or hurt them (same idea: one loss as a parlay versus up to three losses here). The idea, again, is to create a record for creating a reason to watch entertainment whose value diminishes after the games have been played.

However, when in doubt, use the citation to check the original source. The source is the basis for why we recorded the pick the way we did; Guessperts isn’t a substitute for the host’s own official channels.

Are these a host’s official picks or betting card?

No. A pick on Guessperts is our good-faith interpretation of something a host, co-host, or contributor said in publicly available source material. It does not mean the person actually placed a bet, submitted an official betting card, kept the same opinion later, or considers the statement an official pick. The host/show/network might release an official “show” card, but we stick to the episode as it aired on youtube, spotify, etc.

If you’re looking for someone’s official card, current picks, or betting history, go directly to that person, show, network, or their official social channels (which we try and post on the relevant pages throughout this site).

Why might the odds or line be different?

Because betting markets move, sportsbooks disagree, and shows may be referencing different books at different times. A DraftKings line may differ from FanDuel, and either may differ from the number available by kickoff. The person speaking can also simply say a number incorrectly.

Any odds, spreads, totals, or moneylines shown here are context for the pick and part of documenting the show. They are not a claim that the host actually wagered at that number or that the number was available everywhere.

Which kinds of picks do you track?

Mostly picks we can objectively grade from the final result or final score and that fit the site’s grading system - things like spreads, game totals, team totals, and moneylines. We generally don’t track player props, first-half or quarter-specific markets, or other picks that require information our grading system doesn’t reliably support.

Sometimes a host gives a selection as one leg of a teaser, parlay, or similar combined bet. If the individual selection is clear and we can grade it on its own, we may include that selection for purposes of the site’s records and statistics. That does not mean we’re representing the original combined wager itself.

What does the citation on a pick mean?

We try to provide a source citation for every pick so you can see why we recorded it the way we did. The citation is the basis for our interpretation of the source material not proof that the host actually placed a wager, submitted an official card, or never changed their mind somewhere else.

Why do some picks have an (i) next to them?

Occasionally a host says a pick one way on air but clearly means another. For example, they misspeak the line, and the card the show posts afterward has it right. When that happens (and we can detect it) we record the corrected pick and add an (i) next to it. Tap it to see what was said, what we recorded instead, and a link to the source we used for the correction. Generally, however, a pick is recorded the way it was said at the linked timestamp.

What if a pick or profile is wrong, or someone wants their picks removed?

Tell us. If we’ve attributed a pick incorrectly, misunderstood what was said, attached it to the wrong game, or have outdated profile information, we want to know about it. Hosts, co-hosts, contributors, and other people featured on the site can also contact us if they want their picks removed.

Is Guessperts affiliated with the people, shows, networks, teams, or sportsbooks it mentions?

No, unless we explicitly say otherwise. Guessperts is independent and is not sponsored, endorsed, approved by, or affiliated with the hosts, shows, podcasts, networks, sportsbooks, leagues, teams, or other third parties referenced on the site. Their names and other identifying information are used to identify what we’re talking about and where the source material came from. This is a project we built for us.

Is this a gambling site? Should I bet based on this?

No, and no. Guessperts isn’t a sportsbook, doesn’t accept or facilitate wagers, and isn’t trying to tell you what to bet (or that you should). In fact, we don’t gamble!

Nothing here is gambling or financial advice. Picks are intentionally hidden until the underlying game is decided, so the site’s purpose is looking backward at sports commentary and not giving you something to wager on before a game.

If you choose to gamble elsewhere, that’s your decision and entirely separate from Guessperts. Don’t treat the picks, records, statistics, odds, or lines on this site as a basis for placing a wager.

We’re new at this, and the odds that we’ve made a mistake somewhere - whether extracting a pick, crunching the numbers, or displaying the data - are absurdly high. Please don’t put your hard-earned money on the line just because we managed to put some numbers on a website.

We just wanted a reason to justify to our spouses why we’re listening to the same sports podcasts over and over again.

Last Modified: October 1, 2026